Future price equal spot price

Spot–future parity (or spot-futures parity) is a parity condition whereby, if an asset can be purchased today and held until the exercise of a futures contract, the value of the future should equal the current spot price adjusted for the cost of money, dividends, " convenience yield " and any carrying costs (such as storage). At any given time, the current futures price lies within the current bid/ask spread for the exact same type of contract and is constantly changing due to changes in the spot price, expectations of supply and demand, current money market rates, time left until delivery, price volatility and other factors. The forward and futures prices are both set at $1000.0. After 1 day the prices change to 1200; after 2 days prices are at 1500, and the settlement price is 1600. The 3 day profit on the forward position is $600. The profit on the futures is 200R2 +300R +100=$603.5 Nowconsiderthereplicatingstrategyjustdiscussed.

However, with time, the position of the parties will change as a spot price of the underlier changes, with the gains by one party equal to loss of the other party. As   The expectations hypothesis is the simplest, since it assumes that the futures price will be equal to the expected spot price on the delivery date. In this case, the  6 Feb 2009 That is the futures price is equal to the cost of holding the underlying to everyone gets the same price at expiry basis the cash, or spot price. opportunities from significant price disparities for the same asset in different markets.

spot with a stochastic strike price equal to the futures price. Note, the discrete nature and the implicit institutional structure of our timing option model make it 

If demand is strong and the available supply small, cash prices could rise relative to futures price, causing the basis to strengthen. On the other hand, if the demand   If futures prices are lower than spot prices (a pricing structure termed backwardation) then the non-storable commodities analysis applies: The futures price  9 Sep 2019 In a futures market, prices on the exchange are not 'settled' instantly, unlike in a traditional spot market. Instead, two counterparties will make a  Futures Prices Converge Upon Spot Prices It's a fairly safe bet that as the delivery month of a futures contract approaches, the future's price will generally inch toward or even become equal to For example, assume the spot price of gold is $1,200 per ounce and it costs $5 per ounce to store the gold for six months. The six-month futures contract on gold, given a risk-free interest rate of 0.25%, is $1,206.51, or (($1,200+$5)*e^(0.0025*0.5)). The expectations hypothesis is the simplest, since it assumes that the futures price will be equal to the expected spot price on the delivery date. In this case, the price of the futures contract does not deviate from the future spot price, yielding a profit neither to the long position nor the short position.

11 Apr 2017 A futures contract is an instrument for trading commodity price risk. With an alternate spot price series, the failure to find equality may reflect 

Yes, spot price can be and often is different from the stricke price (the contracted price), but it is not different from the price of the futures on that day. If you buy Aug Gold for $910, then $910 is the futures price today. Futures price can be above or below spot price. In equities, for example, if dividends are more than the risk free rate, then the futures will be below the spot if the risk free rate is greater than the dividends, then the futures will be above the spot. The spot price is the price for immediate delivery. At any given time, the current futures price lies within the current bid/ask spread for the exact same type of contract and is constantly changing due to changes in the spot price, expectations of supply and demand, current money market rates,

Current futures prices often lie below the current spot price—that is, futures prices are backwardated—at the same time that firms carry over stocks of the 

There is usually a difference between the spot price of silver and the future price. An imperial ounce equals 28.35 grams, while a troy ounce is equal to 31.1  15 Feb 1997 The spot price is the price of an asset where the sale transaction and of the contract and hence the futures price equals the forward price.

In short, the price of a futures contract (FP) will be equal to the spot price (SP) plus the net cost incurred in carrying the asset till the maturity date of the futures 

19 Feb 2013 What is the relationship between futures price, spot price, What is the futures price for a contract deliverable on December 31 of the same  There is usually a difference between the spot price of silver and the future price. An imperial ounce equals 28.35 grams, while a troy ounce is equal to 31.1  15 Feb 1997 The spot price is the price of an asset where the sale transaction and of the contract and hence the futures price equals the forward price. If demand is strong and the available supply small, cash prices could rise relative to futures price, causing the basis to strengthen. On the other hand, if the demand   If futures prices are lower than spot prices (a pricing structure termed backwardation) then the non-storable commodities analysis applies: The futures price  9 Sep 2019 In a futures market, prices on the exchange are not 'settled' instantly, unlike in a traditional spot market. Instead, two counterparties will make a 

Future price can be higher or lower of stock price, depending on the sentiments going around regarding the stock in the market. Future price is nothing but a prediction of the price at expiry, so if people are in a sell mood, the future price woul Yes, spot price can be and often is different from the stricke price (the contracted price), but it is not different from the price of the futures on that day. If you buy Aug Gold for $910, then $910 is the futures price today. Futures price can be above or below spot price. In equities, for example, if dividends are more than the risk free rate, then the futures will be below the spot if the risk free rate is greater than the dividends, then the futures will be above the spot.